Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero) 🌤️ ...


	Mitre		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.70	2.75
	2.80	2.75	2.65
	2.50	2.80	2.85	Watch
	2.92	2.80	2.86
	2.77	2.77	2.93	Watch
	2.80	2.60	2.75
	2.82	2.77	2.82
	2.80	2.70	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.76)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
33.3%

Draw
33.7%

Colón
33%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

33.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

33.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Mitre - Colón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Minissale P. 6. Romero M. 3. Ferrari F. 11. Garrido O. 10. Maldonado M. 5. Alessandroni J. 7. Cabral Y. 8. Vazquez M. 9. Machado M.	1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Thaller N. 6. Rasmussen F. 3. Castet F. 5. Lertora F. 11. Marcioni J. 8. Antonio I. 7. Toledo A. 10. Lago I. 9. Bonansea A.
Substitutes
17. Avaro E. 14. Correa L. 16. Gonzalez R. 19. Gorla F. J. 13. Herdt G. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 15. Lopez A. 18. Montenegro M. 20. Zarate J.	17. Beltran E. 16. Buosi J. 18. Garate L. 15. Ibarra C. 14. Ibarra Z. 20. Munoz M. 13. Olmedo S. 12. Paredes T. (G) 19. Sarmiento D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Castet F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lertora F. ↓, Buosi J. ↑,
59', Maldonado M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
65', Marcioni J. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
66', Vazquez M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
69', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
78', Toledo A. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
78', Bonansea A. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
86', Garrido O. ↓, Gorla F. J. ↑,
86', Cabral Y. ↓, Avaro E. ↑,
88', Castet F. ↓, Olmedo S. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Mitre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Mitre has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mitre against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Colón - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.10.26	San Miguel - Mitre	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Mitre - San Telmo	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Acassuso - Mitre	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Mitre - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLTT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.10.26	Colón - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	All Boys - Colón	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Colón - Los Andes	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Godoy Cruz - Colón	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Colón - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Colón - Mitre	1:1
01.07.25	Colón - Mitre	0:1
23.02.25	Mitre - Colón	0:1
05.08.24	Colón - Mitre	1:2
17.03.24	Mitre - Colón	2:2

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