Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.9	3	4
	1.9	3.17	4.52
	1.72	3.52	4.8
	1.8	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)	3.22 ↑ (3)	4.28 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
50%

Draw
28.5%

Calahorra
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

32.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Gimnàstic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Calahorra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Calahorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.03.23	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	0:4 ✺
19.02.23	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.03.23	Calahorra - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Calahorra - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Real Unión de Irun - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Calahorra - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.22	Calahorra - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0

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