Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Canovas A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Real Murcia		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.63	3.50	4.40
	1.65	3.55	4.6
	1.72	3.75	5.42
	1.63	3.84	5	Watch
	1.7	3.15	5.35
	1.71	3.53	4.93
	1.64	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	4.86 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
55.1%

Draw
26%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez D. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Perez H. 6. Gonzalez A. (C) 3. Romero C. 8. Mier J. 15. Gil O. 10. Nunez C. 17. Moreno Sanchez J. 23. Bosilj D. 19. Jorquera Romero J.	13. Abril V. (G) 22. Joseda 21. Athuman I. 23. Royo M. (C) 2. Subirats O. 16. Babanzilla M. 8. Montalvo M. 17. Almansa A. 20. Segura C. 11. Gomez D. 19. Prohens J.
Substitutes
11. Bustos A. 21. Errahaly M. 20. Gimenez A. 26. Gimenez Sanchez E. 14. Joao Pedro Palmberg 40. Meca A. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 5. Rojas J. 28. Rubira Riquelme R. 24. Sanchez J. G. 27. Yoldi A.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 12. Bakis S. 10. Eugeni 6. Gabarri T. 14. Gelardo A. 4. Gil F. 15. Jose Amo 18. Katsushima S. 9. Marco P. 7. Sanchez B. 3. Villote V.
Coaches
Guillo S.	Campos X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bosilj D. ⚽, Mier J. (A),
27', Montalvo M. 🟨,
41', Mier J. 🟨,
43', Moreno Sanchez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prohens J. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
55', Nunez C. ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
55', Moreno Sanchez J. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
66', Mier J. ↓, Gimenez Sanchez E. ↑,
66', Subirats O. ↓, Gabarri T. ↑,
66', Gomez D. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
72', Athuman I. 🟨,
75', Segura C. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
80', Mier J. ↓, Yoldi A. ↑,
80', Perez H. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
80', Almansa A. ↓, Villote V. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Gil O. ⚽,
90+2', Joseda 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Gimnàstic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Murcia for this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Murcia has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Murcia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	9	5	1	3	11:8	3	16
7	Gimnastic	9	4	2	3	15:14	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Real Murcia - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Copa Federacion
30.09.26	Navalcarnero - Real Murcia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.26	Real Murcia - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.09.26	Orihuela - Real Murcia	1:4 AET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Real Murcia - Teruel	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Algeciras	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cartagena - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	2:1
08.11.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.06.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
31.05.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.02.23	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0
09.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	3:2
Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.12	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2

Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide