Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.75	3.5	3.85
	1.8	3.81	3.94
	1.64	3.51	5.33	Watch
	1.87	3.54	3.8
	1.98	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	3.88 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
50.2%

Draw
26.1%

Coruxo
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica Segoviana's performance.

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica Segoviana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, Perez R. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, Llorente F. (Pen),

Preview

G Segoviana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coruxo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

G Segoviana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

G Segoviana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, G Segoviana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, G Segoviana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Valladolid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
20.08.25	Palencia CA - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Coruxo - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Coruxo - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Langreo - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Céltiga - Coruxo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.05.22	Coruxo - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1
09.01.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	2:0
18.03.18	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	0:2
28.10.17	Coruxo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1

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