Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.79	3.27	4.88
	1.98	2.96	4.12	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.83	3.24	4.7
	2.12	2.71	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)	3 ↑ (2.72)	4.14 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
47.4%

Draw
30.5%

Marino de Luanco
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

33.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

33.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Marino de Luanco (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marino de Luanco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Pau Chicharito ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Tenas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Llorente F. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

G Segoviana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, G Segoviana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, G Segoviana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.02.26	Langreo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sarriana - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sámano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWT
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Salamanca - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0
24.04.22	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2
05.12.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco	5:1

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