Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sámano		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.3	1.72
	5.01	3.23	1.78
	4.8	3.3	1.74	Watch
	4.6	3	1.75
	5	3.18	1.71
	5	3.14	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.11)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
19%

Draw
28.6%

Gimnástica Segoviana
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

27.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

27.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Sámano - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Juan Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Sámano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

G Segoviana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sámano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, G Segoviana is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sámano	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sámano - Burgos Promesas	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Sámano	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sámano - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bergantiños - Sámano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLWL

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