Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Sarriana		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.05	2.02
	3.4	3.05	2.25
	3.5	3.18	2.05	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	3.6	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.01)	3.07 (3.07)	2.11 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
26.8%

Draw
29.9%

Gimnástica Segoviana
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.5%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

28.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sarriana - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Claveria M. ⚽,
15', Freire A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 1 - 1, Juan Silva ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Perez R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Sarriana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

G Segoviana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

G Segoviana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sarriana - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
25.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sarriana - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Lealtad - Sarriana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Sámano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sarriana	1:0

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