Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.16	3	3.2
	2.18	3.06	3.59
	2.15	3.04	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.29)	3.01 ↓ (3.07)	3.35 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
42.5%

Draw
30.3%

Real Avilés
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

21.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica Segoviana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimnástica Segoviana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.01.22	Navalcarnero - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:2 ✺
23.01.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
09.01.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Palencia CA - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Llanera - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.01.22	Real Avilés - Llanera	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Leganés B - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.09.21	Real Avilés - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1

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