Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.16	3.05	3.25
	2.16	3.17	3.24	Watch
	2.07	3.31	3.52
	2.16	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.13)	3.1 ↓ (3.37)	3.27 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
42.6%

Draw
29.5%

Bergantiños
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Real Avilés - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bautista K. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Poquet N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, Bautista K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Real Avilés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bergantiños is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Bergantiños have a series of home games.

Real Avilés will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.01.25	Coruxo - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Avilés - Numancia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Escobedo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTT
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.01.25	Bergantiños - Guijuelo	2:3 ✺
22.12.24	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
18.12.24	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Escobedo - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.09.24	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	4:1
05.02.23	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	1:0
18.09.22	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	3:1
08.05.22	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	1:3
18.12.21	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	2:2

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