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Current Win Probability
Giresunspor 22.2%
Draw 26.7%
Beşiktaş 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
24.6%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.7%
24.5%
51.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16%
4%
80%
Giresunspor - Beşiktaş Predictions
Users Predictions:
Beşiktaş will win
(20 of 25 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).
Giresunspor has the most likely position - 15 (9.95%), has project points - 40, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Beşiktaş has the most likely position - 5 (11.75%), has project points - 60, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality39, small importance27, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are playing changeable.
Beşiktaş will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Giresunspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.