Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ankaragücü		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.95	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.17	2.65
	2.9	3.17	2.65
	2.6	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.68	3.22	2.52	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.89)	3.19 ↓ (3.29)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
33.8%

Draw
29.3%

Beşiktaş
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 4. Cankaya A. R. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 70. Kitsiou S. 30. Cigerci T. (C) 80. Morutan O. 19. Flips A. 10. Bekiroglu E. 13. Bassogog C. 22. Sowe A.	34. Gunok M. (G) 2. Svensson J. 17. Worrall J. 20. Uysal N. (C) 77. Meras U. 28. Al Musrati 83. Fernandes G. 18. Ghezzal R. 23. Muci E. 11. Rashica M. 40. Muleka J.
Substitutes
45. Cetin M. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 23. Guneren A. K. 35. Karatas K. 32. Macheda F. 25. Ozbir E. (G) 8. Pedrinho 11. Rodrigues G. 17. Saponara R. 27. Unyay A.	10. Aboubakar V. 12. Amartey D. 6. Colley O. 1. Destanoglu E. (G) 26. Masuaku A. 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 5. Sanuc T. T. 21. Tiknaz D. E. 9. Tosun C. 8. Ucan S.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Topraktepe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cigerci T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rashica M. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
46', Meras U. ↓, Masuaku A. ↑,
56', Al Musrati 🟨,
62', Bekiroglu E. 🟨,
65', Sowe A. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
65', Cigerci T. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
74', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
77', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
77', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
79', Ghezzal R. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↑,
83', Morutan O. ↓, Chatzigiovanis A. ↑,
88', Muci E. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
90+1', Muleka J. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
90+4', Kitsiou S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Beşiktaş have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Ankaragücü - Gaziantep	3:1 ✺
02.04.24	Antalyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
04.04.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.24	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.03.24	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0
03.12.23	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	1:1
05.03.23	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:1
Turkish Cup
18.01.23	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	2:1 penalties
Turkish Super League
04.09.22	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	2:3
16.04.21	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:2
24.12.20	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	0:1

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