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Current Win Probability
Giresunspor 37.6%
Draw 26.6%
Fatih Karagümrükspor 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
26.5%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
26.1%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giresunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giresunspor's performance.
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fatih Karagümrükspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giresunspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
10%
40%
Giresunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Giresunspor will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Giresunspor: 28.1% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).
Giresunspor has the most likely position - 19 (18.44%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Karagümrük has the most likely position - 8 (19.76%), has project points - 49, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, importance31, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1.
Giresunspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Karagümrük is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Giresunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Giresunspor: Uludag A.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Karagümrük: Tatli E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Giresunspor: Seven K.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Mizrakci E.
(Ankle Injury)
Tintis E.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
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