Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 12

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.22	3.35	3.15	Watch
	2.31	3.37	3.34
	2.32	3.37	3.34
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.4	3.24	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	3.22 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
42.6%

Draw
28.2%

Sivasspor
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bilgin E. (G) 4. Biraschi D. 5. Dresevic I. 26. Ceccherini F. 18. Mercan L. 30. Sangare N. 8. Feghouli S. 6. Rohden M. 7. Keles C. 9. Eysseric V. 10. Yalcin G.	35. Vural A. (G) 23. Okumus A. 4. Appindangoye 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Ciftci U. 72. Konak Y. E. 17. Bassan E. 8. Charisis C. 24. Saiz S. 11. Rodrigues G. 55. Koita F.
Substitutes
1. Dituro M. (G) 19. Dursun S. 54. Dursun S. 15. Lasagna K. 20. Mendes R. 97. Paoletti F. 29. Shukurov O. 27. Sturaro S. 77. Ugur A. 3. Veseli F.	37. Arslan H. 14. Camara S. 58. Erdal Z. 15. Erenturk E. (G) 76. Kaya E. 19. Kvet R. 9. Manaj R. 10. N'Jie C. 99. Paluli M. 5. Parmak A.
Coaches
Canel A.	Cetin S.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2.

Recent matches Karagümrük is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sivasspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Karagümrük: Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Paoletti F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Camara S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
05.11.23	Konyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
23.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWLL
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
05.11.23	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.11.23	Sivasspor - Artvin Hopaspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.10.23	Alanyaspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Pendikspor - Sivasspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
04.03.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	4:3
03.09.22	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:0
Turkish Cup
02.03.22	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
Turkish Super League
20.02.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	1:0
25.09.21	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:0
13.03.21	Sivasspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
21.11.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sivasspor	1:1

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