The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Girona 39.1%
Draw 28.7%
Mallorca 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
27%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
26.2%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Girona's form might have worsened.
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Girona - Mallorca Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Mallorca (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Bonar J. 5. Lopez D. (C) 16. Frances A. 11. Moreno A. 14. Morante I. 24. Gonzalez I. 23. Perez C. 6. van de Beek D. 36. Sarasa J. 9. Ruiz A.
1. Tenas A. (G) 15. Donald J. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Soumahoro A. 5. Moreno A. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Puigmal A. 20. Torre P. 7. Sala A. 16. Buksa A. 18. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
32. Arango J. 8. Beltran F. 33. Furtado M. 17. Gil B. 35. Hamony M. 30. Hernandez U. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 3. Morey M. 2. Mumin A. 10. Portu 15. Pyshchur O.
34. Calatayud M. 19. Cerda J. 10. Darder S. 37. Dols Cabot A. (G) 2. Fernandez G. 30. Kalumba J. 3. Lato T. 33. Liso A. 4. Lopez D. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A.
Coaches
Alvarez Q.
Garcia L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Sanchez A. 🟨,
32', Moreno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno A. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
52', Torre P. 🟨,
57', Puigmal A. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
58', Buksa A. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
58', Torre P. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
63', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
66', Morante I. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
66', Ruiz A. ↓, Pyshchur O. ↑,
72', Sarasa J. ↓, Hernandez U. ↑,
72', van de Beek D. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
85', Sala A. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
85', Lopez D. ↓, Mumin A. ↑,
87', Fuentes A. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 6th in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Girona could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Girona holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Girona: Asprilla Y.
(International duty)
Garcia J.
(Muscle Injury)
Kourouma L.
(International duty)
Krapyvtsov V.
(International duty)
Morey M.
(Inactive)
Pyshchur O.
(International duty)
Stuani C.
(Injury)
Vanat V.
(International duty)
Zamorano H.
(International duty).
Confirmed absences for Mallorca: Bergstrom L.
(International duty)
Kalumba J.
(Injury)
Luna D.
(Injury)
Luvumbo Z.
(International duty)
Morlanes M.
(Injury)
Pichu Cuellar
(Head Injury)
Roca A.
(Injury)
Salas J.
(Knee Injury)
Valjent M.
(International duty).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Girona has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:20 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Girona against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
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Gazzaniga P. (G) 
Bonar J. 
van de Beek D. 
Soumahoro A. 
Buksa A. 
Arango J. 
Furtado M. 
Hamony M. 
Kourouma L. 
Krapyvtsov V. (G) 
Mumin A. 
