Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 9
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Sky Sport
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Spain	LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Girona		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.60	4.10
	1.72	3.45	4.4	Watch
	1.83	3.75	4.71
	1.79	3.62	4.59	Watch
	1.77	3.55	4.6
	1.79	3.75	4.63	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)	3.6 ↓ (3.78)	4.54 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
53.2%

Draw
26.1%

Las Palmas
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

27.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Girona - Las Palmas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Girona will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 5. Lopez D. (C) 38. Zamorano H. 11. Moreno A. 21. Garcia J. 8. Beltran F. 24. Gonzalez I. 17. Gil B. 19. Vanat V. 9. Ruiz A.	13. Caro J. (G) 27. Pezzolesi V. 4. Alex Suarez 15. Herzog J. 5. Clemente E. 11. Miyashiro T. 12. Loiodice E. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 7. Betancor J. 14. Fuster M. 10. Jese
Substitutes
22. Asprilla Y. 39. Badia G. 4. Bonar J. 12. Camara D. 30. Hernandez U. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 14. Morante I. 2. Mumin A. 34. Pyshchur O. 7. Stuani C. 6. van de Beek D.	16. Acimovic M. 21. Bonfanti G. 32. Cruz R. 6. Gonzalez I. 24. Ivan Jaime 30. Medina I. 19. Ramirez S. 23. Rodriguez A. 29. Romero E. 8. Ruiz S. 35. Suarez A. (G) 33. Villote V.
Coaches
Alvarez Q.	de la Barrera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Garcia J. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽, Beltran F. (A),
27', Loiodice E. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Betancor J. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
46', Herzog J. ↓, Bonfanti G. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Ivan Jaime ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Beltran F. ⚽,
57', Garcia J. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Asprilla Y. ⚽, Vanat V. (A),
69', Loiodice E. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
69', Fuster M. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Asprilla Y. ⚽, Ruiz A. (A),
73', Lopez D. ↓, Bonar J. ↑,
73', Ruiz A. ↓, Morante I. ↑,
74', Gil B. 🟨,
75', Jese 🟥,
79', Rodriguez K. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
83', Vanat V. ↓, van de Beek D. ↑,
84', Beltran F. ↓, Pyshchur O. ↑,
85', 4 - 2, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Gonzalez I. (A),
90+1', 5 - 2, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
90+3', Bonfanti G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 4.

Girona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Girona is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Girona: Ounahi A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Portu (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Arvelo A. (Coach's decision) Cedeno E. (Hamstring Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Marvin (Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Viti Rozada (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Furtado M. (Coach's decision) Hernandez U. (Injury) Mumin A. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Girona won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Girona	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
21.08.26	Córdoba - Girona	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Girona - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Girona - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
29.07.26	Girona - Castellón	3:3 ✺
25.07.26	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.26	Ceuta - Las Palmas	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Las Palmas - Neom	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Las Palmas - Leiria	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Las Palmas - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.02.25	Girona - Las Palmas	2:1
26.10.24	Las Palmas - Girona	1:0
27.04.24	Las Palmas - Girona	0:2
03.09.23	Girona - Las Palmas	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.22	Las Palmas - Girona	1:3
22.08.21	Girona - Las Palmas	0:0
19.03.21	Las Palmas - Girona	1:2

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