Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Girona B		Guineueta

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.47	3.5	5.3
	1.49	3.6	5.6
	1.47	3.71	5.72
	1.51	3.8	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	3.66 ↑ (3.29)	5.68 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
60%

Draw
24.3%

Guineueta
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

16.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Guineueta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guineueta than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guineueta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Girona B - Guineueta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Girona B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guineueta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Girona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Girona B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.12.21	Ascó - Girona B	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Girona B - Grama	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	San Cristóbal - Girona B	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Manresa - Girona B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWT
- EE Guineueta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.12.21	Guineueta - Manresa	0:3 ✺
28.11.21	Figueres - Guineueta	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Guineueta - Vilafranca	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Castelldefels - Guineueta	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Guineueta - Olot	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLTL

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