Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Girona B		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.83	3.31	3.87
				Watch
	1.88	3.34	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.5)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	3.78 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
48.5%

Draw
27.6%

UD San Fernando
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona B's performance.

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Girona B - UD San Fernando Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - UD San Fernando (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UD San Fernando (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Camara D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Girona B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, UD San Fernando has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UD San Fernando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Girona B might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
08.06.25	Girona B - Badalona	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Badalona - Girona B	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	Girona B - Peralada	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Peralada - Girona B	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Mollerussa - Girona B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWWT
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.06.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	0:0 ET ✺
31.05.25	Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	UD San Fernando - Mensajero	2:0 ET ✺
17.05.25	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	UD San Fernando - Santa Úrsula	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWTW

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