Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2025, Saturday
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 |
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 |
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Mensajero |
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UD San Fernando |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
3.1 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.15 |
3.25 |
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 |
2.22 |
3.15 |
3.78 |
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 |
2.14 |
3 |
3.48 |
Watch |
 |
2.1 |
3.26 |
3.48 |
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 |
2.1 |
3.15 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↓ (2.79) |
3.14 ↑ (3.08) |
3.27 ↑ (2.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mensajero 41.9% | Draw 29.6% | UD San Fernando 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mensajero's performance.UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mensajero that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Mensajero - UD San Fernando Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 0, Abreu C. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 1, Vazquez Velazquez O. A. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 2.In recent matches, Mensajero has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).UD San Fernando is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Mensajero won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
UD San Fernando - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;