Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Tamaraceite		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.62	2.48
	3.5	2.29	2.62
	3.68	2.22	2.75	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.5
	3.34	2.51	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.64)	2.45 ↓ (3.05)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
27.6%

Draw
37%

UD San Fernando
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tamaraceite's form might have worsened.

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tamaraceite, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Sanchez S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Rivero Santana A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 3 - 0, Sanchez S. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tamaraceite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tamaraceite has had a series of home games.

UD San Fernando will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tamaraceite won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Fernando	4	3	0	1	11:2	9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
16.05.26	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Tamaraceite - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tamaraceite - Herbania	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Las Palmas C - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Tamaraceite - Marino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLTT
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
24.05.26	UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	UD San Fernando - Tenerife C	5:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lanzarote - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	UD San Fernando - Arucas	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Arcángel San Miguel - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.02.26	Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando	0:1
12.10.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	0:1
07.06.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	0:0 ET
31.05.25	Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando	1:1
09.02.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	1:1
27.09.24	Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando	0:2
Club Friendly
10.08.23	Tamaraceite - UD San Fernando	1:3

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