Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro (Giugliano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Giugliano		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.45	1.85
	3.75	3.55	1.75
	2.17	3.66	2.93	Watch
	3.89	3.42	1.82	Watch
	3.48	3.28	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.62)	3.47 ↑ (3.24)	2.02 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
27.2%

Draw
26.8%

Salernitana
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.9%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giugliano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giugliano - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Russo A. (G) 2. D'Avino L. 5. Caldore M. 6. Del Fabro D. 3. Milan M. 56. D'Agostino G. 33. Zammarini R. 28. Peluso L. 90. Borello G. 9. Nepi A. 10. Isaac Prado	17. Donnarumma A. (G) 56. Cabianca E. 6. Golemic V. 13. Frascatore P. 55. Villa L. 24. Quirini E. 5. Capomaggio G. 8. de Boer K. 2. Anastasio A. 9. Inglese R. 20. Ferraris A.
Substitutes
32. Balde I. 1. Bolletta L. (G) 21. De Francesco F. 8. De Rosa R. 17. Esposito G. 26. Forciniti L. 30. Lops F. 11. Njambe M. . Prezioso M. 14. Vaglica G.	7. Achik I. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 10. Ferrari F. 39. Iervolino A. . Knezovic B. 26. Matino E. 29. Tascone M. 27. Ubani M. . Varone I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Nepi A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Ferraris A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Quirini E. ↓, Tascone M. ↑,
46', Anastasio A. ↓, Ubani M. ↑,
54', Del Fabro D. 🟨,
63', Cabianca E. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
66', Matino E. 🟨,
67', Nepi A. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
68', Inglese R. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
78', Ferraris A. 🟨,
80', Peluso L. ↓, De Rosa R. ↑,
81', Borello G. ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Ferrari F. ⚽,
85', Capomaggio G. 🟨,
90', D'Agostino G. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Giugliano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salernitana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Giugliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Salernitana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Salernitana is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.25	Cavese - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Giugliano - Foggia	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Picerno - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Giugliano - Potenza	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Giugliano - Pianese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTLW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Salernitana - Sorrento	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Salernitana - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Salernitana - Sorrento	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

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