The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giugliano 26.3%
Draw 28.3%
Foggia 45.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
29.8%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
29.8%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giugliano's form might have worsened.
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Foggia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giugliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Foggia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Giugliano - Foggia Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Giugliano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bolletta L. (G) 16. Improta R. 5. Pedro Justiniano 24. Caldore M. 3. Panico C. 21. Forciniti L. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 17. Esposito G. 4. Zammarini R. 7. Galletta U. 10. Balde I.
22. Saro G. (G) 33. Azarovs T. 21. Berra F. 3. Seck M. 2. Todisco G. 14. Zuccon F. 4. Gallo A. (C) 8. Coulibaly M. 11. Petito F. 91. Ravasio M. 18. Luciani P.
Substitutes
30. Borgnino M. 6. Broh J. 19. Cimmaruta A. 99. Cuomo S. 31. Giordano L. 77. Greco S. (G) 9. Ibe C. 23. Laezza G. 33. La Vardera S. 28. Marchisano M. 26. Minelli A. 44. Peluso L. 36. Rigo M. 12. Santarelli L. (G) 64. Varone I.
56. Chiara E. 79. Clerge N. 10. Del Sole F. 6. Di Pasquale D. 16. Haoudi H. 12. Marfella D. (G) 29. Merdji Y. 37. Ngana V. 7. Oviszach E. 17. Panico G. 51. Parisy C. 19. Rinaldo M. 32. Smeraldi A. 80. Testa A. (G) 28. Toure I.
Coaches
Napoli R.
Auteri G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Ravasio M. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
21', Seck M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Balde I. ⚽, Esposito G. (A),
34', Azarovs T. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, De Rosa R. ⚽,
45', Forciniti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Forciniti L. ↓, Varone I. ↑,
46', Azarovs T. ↓, Smeraldi A. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Esposito G. ⚽, Zammarini R. (A),
62', Zuccon F. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
62', Coulibaly M. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
76', Ravasio M. ↓, Del Sole F. ↑,
76', Petito F. ↓, Merdji Y. ↑,
76', Galletta U. ↓, La Vardera S. ↑,
83', De Rosa R. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,
83', Balde I. ↓, Ibe C. ↑,
87', Esposito G. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Serie C - Play Out and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 4.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Giugliano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Foggia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Giugliano has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:11 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Giugliano against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Foggia
11
4
2
5
11:13
-2
14
18
Giugliano
11
3
1
7
15:29
-14
10
Last Results with these Odds
Giugliano - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.04%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Foggia - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.