Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)


	Glenavon		Rathfriland Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.25	7.75
	1.29	5.25	6.75
	1.32	6.10	5.30
	1.18	5.83	14.13	Watch
	1.30	6.00	5.20
	1.23	5.75	8.70
	1.26	5.20	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.16)	5.63 ↓ (5.88)	7.89 ↓ (13.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
72.2%

Draw
16.2%

Rathfriland Rangers
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

15.3%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glenavon's form might have worsened.

Rathfriland Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Glenavon - Rathfriland Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 16 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Glenavon is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Glenavon	10	6	2	2	25:13	12	20
15	Rathfriland	10	2	0	8	9:22	-13	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Glenavon - Ballymena United	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Crusaders - Glenavon	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Glenavon - Doncaster Rovers	0:5 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
25.04.26	Glenavon - Carrick Rangers	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Glenavon - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL
- Rathfriland Rangers
Northern Irish Championship
22.08.26	Newington - Rathfriland Rangers	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Dungannon Swifts - Rathfriland Rangers	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Rathfriland Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	2:4 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
29.08.23	Portstewart - Rathfriland Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.20	Cliftonville - Rathfriland Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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