Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 3

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: The BetMcLean Oval (Belfast)

Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Glentoran		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.62	3.8	4.65
	1.64	4.05	5.01
	1.68	3.57	5.14	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.64	3.78	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.72 ↓ (3.81)	4.79 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glentoran
55.7%

Draw
25%

Glenavon
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Glentoran - Glenavon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Glentoran will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Glenavon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mills A. (G) 22. Amos D. 17. Burt L. 15. Coll C. 2. Cooney R. 30. Jenkins J. 3. Kane M. (C) 16. McEleney S. 8. Palmer C. 27. Singleton J. 10. Stewart J.	1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 27. Carlin S. 17. Lowe K. 11. Mallon S. 8. Malone J. 15. McClelland K. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 22. O'Connor M.
Substitutes
14. Ferris N. 4. Hvid F. 45. Johnson J. 5. Kelly J. 21. Lindsay C. 28. Russell J. 12. Urminsky P. (G)	13. Byrne M. (G) 19. Lomboto F. 9. McDaid D. 4. Murphy H. 31. Quinn N. 26. Smith C. 20. Wilson B.
Coaches
Devine D.	McLaughlin P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', O'Connor M. 🟨,
22', Cooney R. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Stewart J. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coll C. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
51', Carlin S. 🟨,
57', Burt L. ↓, Lindsay C. ↑,
60', Mallon S. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
60', Carlin S. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
71', Singleton J. 🟨,
71', Lomboto F. 🟨,
73', McKeown B. ↓, Quinn N. ↑,
73', Stewart J. ↓, Ferris N. ↑,
74', Malone J. 🟨,
76', Ferris N. 🟨,
82', Malone J. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
82', McGovern P. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Jenkins J. ⚽,
88', Lindsay C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 2.

Glentoran is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Glenavon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Glentoran is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Glentoran won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
16.08.25	Glentoran - Bangor	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Portadown - Glentoran	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Limavady United - Glentoran	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Glentoran - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWT
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
16.08.25	Carrick Rangers - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Glenavon	3:0 ✺
29.07.25	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Dollingstown - Glenavon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.25	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2
Northern Irish Premiership
12.03.25	Glentoran - Glenavon	3:3
09.11.24	Glenavon - Glentoran	0:3
28.09.24	Glentoran - Glenavon	0:0
05.03.24	Glenavon - Glentoran	0:0
21.10.23	Glentoran - Glenavon	3:1
05.08.23	Glenavon - Glentoran	0:1

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