The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Globo FC 21.4%
Draw 28.6%
Afogados da Ingazeira 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
30.3%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
30.4%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Globo FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Globo FC's form might have worsened.
Afogados da Ingazeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afogados da Ingazeira's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Globo FC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Globo FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afogados da Ingazeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.8%
14.3%
61.9%
Globo FC - Afogados da Ingazeira Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Globo FC will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Afogados will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Afogados: 41.1% – 82.7%.
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Preview
Globo FC has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Afogados da Ingazeira is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Globo FC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Afogados da Ingazeira will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Globo FC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Globo FC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.