Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 7

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Globo FC		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.44
	6.2	3.75	1.45
	5.94	3.67	1.49
	6.4	4.15	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (5.22)	3.89 ↑ (3.52)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Globo FC
14.7%

Draw
23.2%

Santa Cruz Recife
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

25.4%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

24.2%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Globo FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Globo FC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Globo FC - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Globo FC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Globo FC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Cruz is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Globo FC won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Globo FC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Globo FC
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Globo FC	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Globo FC - Iguatu	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Pacajus - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
21.05.23	Globo FC - Potiguar	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Campinense - Globo FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWLTL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Pacajus	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Campinense	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Potiguar - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.08.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Globo FC	2:1
17.06.19	Globo FC - Santa Cruz Recife	3:3
14.07.18	Santa Cruz Recife - Globo FC	1:1
14.05.18	Globo FC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2

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