Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 3

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Campinense

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	2.05	2.85	3.7
	2	2.75	3.7
	1.95	2.88	3.7
	1.97	3.18	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	2.92 ↓ (3.24)	3.7 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
45.1%

Draw
30.7%

Campinense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Campinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Campinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Campinense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
14.05.23	Potiguar - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.04.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 penalties ✺
01.04.23	Belo Jardim - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
28.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Íbis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Serie D
14.05.23	Campinense - Globo FC	4:0 ✺
06.05.23	Pacajus - Campinense	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.04.23	Botafogo PB - Campinense	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Campinense - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Campinense - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.12.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Campinense	Canceled
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.17	Santa Cruz Recife - Campinense	1:0
25.01.17	Campinense - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
01.05.16	Campinense - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
27.04.16	Santa Cruz Recife - Campinense	2:1

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