Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife) 🌤️ ...


	Santa Cruz Recife		Sousa

	1	X	2
	1.96	3	4.1
	2.09	3.2	3.86
	1.78	3.25	4.6
	2	3.2	3.6
	1.95	2.99	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.13 ↑ (2.84)	4.11 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
47.6%

Draw
29.8%

Sousa
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

32.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

33.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Nahuelpan A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Veraldo (Penalty Awarded),
2, Willian Junior (Penalty Awarded),
2, Crystian (Penalty Awarded),
3, Eurico (Penalty Awarded),
3, Felipe Jacare (Penalty Awarded),
4, Marquinhos (Penalty Awarded),
4, Diego Viana (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Cruz is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Decisão - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL
- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
28.02.26	Sousa - Campinense	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sousa - Pombal	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Campinense - Sousa	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sousa - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
15.06.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	2:0
25.05.25	Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1
28.06.23	Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1
03.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	1:0

Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa