Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Buzau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
World	Prima+ app


	Gloria Buzău		Farul Constanța

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.98
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.77	3.43	2.13
	3.65	3.45	2	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.63	3.45	2	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.77)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloria Buzău
26.2%

Draw
27.7%

Farul Constanța
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

26.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloria Buzău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Gloria Buzău aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța Predictions

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lazar D. (G) 14. Ciranni A. 25. Lovric D. 92. Cestor M. 87. Diego 27. Canadjija D. 8. Albu D. 98. Jipa A. 20. Tavares D. 30. Isfan A. 10. Budescu C.	1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 22. Sirbu D. 5. Tiru B. 4. Gustavo Marins 11. Ganea C. 20. Radaslavescu E. 6. Dican V. 23. Casap C. 7. Alibec D. 9. Rivaldinho 30. Grigoryan N.
Substitutes
66. Akhmatov R. 6. Calin T. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 80. Dumitrascu D. 88. Gheorghe I. 12. Greab A. (G) 9. Matos R. 39. Railean D. (G) 19. Stan A. 11. Tescan D. 5. Turda G.	16. Buta G. 2. Cercel I. 77. Ciobanu A. 15. Danuleasa G. 99. Doicaru I. 68. Ducan R. (G) 19. Mustaca R. 14. Nedelcu D. 80. Popescu N. 90. Stoian A.
Coaches
Neagoe E.	Hagi G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Budescu C. 🟨,
31', Tiru B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Radaslavescu E. ↓, Nedelcu D. ↑,
46', Tiru B. ↓, Danuleasa G. ↑,
54', Canadjija D. 🟨,
59', Isfan A. ↓, Gheorghe I. ↑,
60', Tavares D. 🟨,
67', Jipa A. ↓, Stan A. ↑,
69', Grigoryan N. 🟨,
72', Albu D. 🟨,
73', Grigoryan N. ↓, Doicaru I. ↑,
73', Rivaldinho ↓, Stoian A. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Canadjija D. ⚽, Gheorghe I. (A),
80', Casap C. ↓, Ciobanu A. ↑,
84', Canadjija D. ↓, Calin T. ↑,
84', Budescu C. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
90+5', Stan A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloria Buzău won 2.

Gloria Buzău is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Farul is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Farul is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gloria Buzău won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloria Buzău won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
20.09.24	Botoșani - Gloria Buzău	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Gloria Buzău - Oţelul Galaţi	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Unirea Slobozia - Gloria Buzău	2:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
29.08.24	Afumaţi - Gloria Buzău	2:1 penalties ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.08.24	Gloria Buzău - Universitatea Cluj	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLLL
- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
22.09.24	Farul Constanța - Sepsi OSK	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Farul Constanța - CFR Cluj	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	UTA Arad - Farul Constanța	1:1 ✺
19.08.24	Farul Constanța - Hermannstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup
02.11.23	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	1:0
Romanian Division 2
19.09.20	Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău	2:2
02.11.19	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	2:0
Romanian Division 2/Serie 1
02.04.16	Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău	2:0
11.11.15	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	0:0
06.12.14	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	3:0
27.09.14	Farul Constanța - Gloria Buzău	4:0

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