Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Round 7

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Buzau)

Referee: Mladinovici H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	Gloria Buzău		Universitatea Cluj

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.75
	4.84	3.54	1.78
	4.26	3.53	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.37	3.52	1.81	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.47 ↑ (3.1)	1.77 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloria Buzău
20.5%

Draw
26.9%

Universitatea Cluj
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29.8%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

28.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloria Buzău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloria Buzău's form might have worsened.

Universitatea Cluj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitatea Cluj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Buzău than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloria Buzău, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Cluj than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitatea Cluj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	9.3%	86%

Gloria Buzău - Universitatea Cluj Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitatea Cluj will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Greab A. (G) 87. Diego 5. Turda G. 13. Grigore D. (C) 99. Gladun C. S. 20. Tavares D. 27. Canadjija D. 66. Akhmatov R. 88. Gheorghe I. 9. Matos R. 30. Isfan A.	30. Gertmonas E. (G) 24. Boboc R. 5. Masoero L. 6. Cristea L. 27. Chipciu A. (C) 23. Popescu O. 94. Bic O. 22. Rata V. 10. Nistor D. 93. Thiam M. 77. Blanuta V.
Substitutes
8. Benzar D. 10. Budescu C. 6. Calin T. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 7. Dumitru C. 98. Mihaiu A. 22. Pirvulescu S. 23. Prejmerean V. 39. Railean D. (G) 18. Salceanu R. 11. Tescan D.	8. Codrea D. 33. Gorcea A. (G) 17. Lasure D. 3. Mitrea B. 19. Moraru M. 26. Oancea D. 99. Pereira H. 21. Sfait M. 7. Silaghi R. 98. Simion G. B. 13. Tchassem F. 16. van der Werff J.
Coaches
Prepelita A.	Sabau I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Diego 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Nistor D. (Pen),
33', Popescu O. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Thiam M. ⚽, Rata V. (A),
45', Akhmatov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Popescu O. ↓, Simion G. B. ↑,
46', Isfan A. ↓, Tescan D. ↑,
46', Akhmatov R. ↓, Budescu C. ↑,
46', Gladun C. S. ↓, Pirvulescu S. ↑,
57', Gheorghe I. ↓, Dumitru C. ↑,
62', Gertmonas E. 🟨,
64', Canadjija D. 🟨,
73', Blanuta V. ↓, Moraru M. ↑,
73', Rata V. ↓, Mitrea B. ↑,
77', Masoero L. 🟨,
82', Diego ↓, Mihaiu A. ↑,
86', Nistor D. ↓, Oancea D. ↑,
86', Thiam M. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group: )).

Gloria Buzău is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universitatea Cluj is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloria Buzău could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universitatea Cluj is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gloria Buzău won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloria Buzău won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
16.08.24	Universitatea Craiova - Gloria Buzău	5:1 ✺
10.08.24	Gloria Buzău - Rapid Bucureşti	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Gloria Buzău	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Politehnica Iași - Gloria Buzău	1:2 ✺
22.07.24	Gloria Buzău - Sepsi OSK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL
- Universitatea Cluj
Romanian SuperLiga
19.08.24	Universitatea Cluj - Sepsi OSK	3:0 ✺
12.08.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Cluj	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	CFR Cluj - Universitatea Cluj	2:3 ✺
29.07.24	UTA Arad - Universitatea Cluj	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Universitatea Cluj - Hermannstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Division 2
13.09.20	Gloria Buzău - Universitatea Cluj	2:1
01.03.20	Gloria Buzău - Universitatea Cluj	2:2
25.08.19	Universitatea Cluj - Gloria Buzău	0:2

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