Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 8

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday


	Gloucester City		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.3
	2.6	3.15	2.45
	2.85	3.31	2.44
	2.88	3.1	2.35
	2.86	3.35	2.34
	2.65	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.69)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	2.37 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
33.6%

Draw
27.7%

Buxton
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Buxton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Gloucester City - Buxton Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Buxton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gloucester: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Gloucester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Buxton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
02.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Gloucester City - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	South Shields - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	King`s Lynn Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Gloucester City - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTL
- Buxton FC
English National League North
02.09.23	Buxton - Darlington	5:0 ✺
28.08.23	Banbury United - Buxton	0:3 ✺
26.08.23	Buxton - Blyth Spartans	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Warrington Town - Buxton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.03.23	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:1
08.11.22	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:1

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