Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	South Shields		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.8
	1.79	3.45	3.8
	1.76	3.83	4.37
	2.2	3.2	3
	1.74	3.78	4.25
	1.8	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.17)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	3.83 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
50.2%

Draw
25.8%

Gloucester City
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Shields's performance.

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Shields that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

South Shields - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches South Shields is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

South Shields will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English National League North
19.08.23	South Shields - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Farsley - South Shields	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Boston United - South Shields	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	South Shields - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.23	South Shields - Gateshead	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
19.08.23	King`s Lynn Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Gloucester City - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Gloucester City - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Blyth Spartans - Gloucester City	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Bath City - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTLL

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