Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Buxton		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	2.02	3.35	3.4
	2.02	3.34	3.52
	3.23	3.40	2.12	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	2.04	3.38	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.08)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
42.7%

Draw
28%

Curzon Ashton
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-1%)

Buxton - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buxton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Holmes B. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Sodje T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 2, Weston C. ⚽,
72', Stafford J. 🟥,
75', 1 - 3, Rodwell-Grant J. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, McLean R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1.

In recent matches, Buxton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Curzon Ashton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Buxton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
23.08.25	AFC Telford United - Buxton	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Buxton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Marine - Buxton	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Buxton - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Warrington Town - Buxton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
23.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	AFC Telford United - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Leamington	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.02.25	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	1:0
05.10.24	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	0:1
03.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	0:3
19.08.23	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	1:1
07.01.23	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	2:1
13.08.22	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	1:0
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.15	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	0:0

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