Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.8	3.75	3.45
	1.84	3.9	3.46
	1.8	3.62	3.74
	1.65	3.84	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)	3.74 ↓ (3.82)	3.71 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
51.3%

Draw
24.2%

Dorchester Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Gloucester City - Dorchester Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Phillips K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 2 - 0, Hanks J. ⚽,

Preview

Gloucester is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dorchester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gloucester is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Gloucester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Evesham United - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Dorchester Town - Farnham Town	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Berkhamsted - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorchester Town - Walton & Hersham	3:3 ✺
12.08.25	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Uxbridge - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Gloucester City - Dorchester Town	3:3
24.08.24	Dorchester Town - Gloucester City	1:0

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