Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Evesham United		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.88	3.5	2.08
	2.92	3.67	2.13
	2.89	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	2.13 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Evesham United
31.7%

Draw
25.7%

Gloucester City
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

23.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Evesham United - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Spence S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Wright A. ⚽,

Preview

Evesham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gloucester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Evesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Evesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
23.08.25	Poole Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Evesham United - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Evesham United - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Weymouth - Evesham United	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Evesham United - Cheltenham Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLTWL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
23.08.25	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Gloucester City - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Evesham United - Gloucester City	1:7
10.07.14	Evesham United - Gloucester City	1:2

Upcoming Matches