Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Plymouth Parkway		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.40	2.55
	2.08	3.40	2.75
	2.42	3.42	2.59
	2.39	3.65	2.65	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.55
	2.31	3.38	2.54
	2.27	3.45	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.1)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
39.2%

Draw
26.2%

Gloucester City
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

25.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Neal A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Plymouth Parkway could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Gloucester has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth Parkway has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:11 (averaging 2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plymouth Parkway against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:1 goals (averaging 4:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27:14	13	26
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 41.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
24.10.26	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Chertsey Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
13.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Chichester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Horsham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLW
- Gloucester City
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Redditch United - Gloucester City	3:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Gloucester City - Barrow	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Barrow - Gloucester City	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Hanworth Villa - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Mulbarton Wanderers - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
28.03.26	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:0
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1
21.12.24	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	6:0
13.08.24	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:2
English FA Cup
23.09.18	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:1

Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City