Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Godoy Cruz		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.7	2.5	Watch
	2.87	2.8	2.7
	3.2	2.82	2.52	Watch
	3.3	2.86	2.52	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.5	Watch
	3.2	2.82	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.6)	2.78 ↑ (2.63)	2.54 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Godoy Cruz
28.9%

Draw
33.9%

Independiente Rivadavia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

35.9%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

37.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Godoy Cruz's form might have worsened.

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Godoy Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	66.7%	8.3%

Godoy Cruz - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente R (1.70) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Godoy Cruz (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Independiente R (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 26. Mendoza M. 23. Rasmussen F. 3. Moran J. 32. Abrego G. 25. Poggi V. 13. Fernandez N. 27. Andino S. 77. Dupuy L. 11. Barrea D.	1. Centurion E. (G) 21. Cardillo M. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 27. Souto P. 26. Fernandez M. 25. Amarfil M. 8. Sequeira L. 24. Ortega T. 20. Barbieri J. 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
41. Altamira F. 31. Auzmendi A. 17. Gonzalez M. 29. Jara L. 5. Leyes B. 21. Meli A. 20. Parzajuk K. 35. Pascual L. 10. Pozzo T. A. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 2. Rossi T. 24. Yanez B.	29. Abecasis L. 44. Amato F. 5. Bottari T. 2. Costa L. 23. Marinelli G. (G) 13. Osella A. 4. Peinipil M. 34. Retamar K. 43. Sartori F. 19. Schwartz M. 11. Tonetto D. 31. Valenti M.
Coaches
Solari E.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Studer S. 🟨,
15', Dupuy L. 🟨,
20', Cardillo M. 🟨,
24', Andino S. 🟨,
29', Fernandez N. 🟨,
45', Barbieri J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Andino S. ⚽, Arce L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Souto P. ↓, Valenti M. ↑,
48', Barrea D. 🟨,
54', Amarfil M. 🟨,
56', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
56', Ortega T. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
68', Cardillo M. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
70', Barrea D. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Villalba I. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
76', Barbieri J. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
83', Dupuy L. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
84', Andino S. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90', Poggi V. 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Independiente R could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Ardiles F. (Inactive) Barrea D. (Injury) Perez J. (Inactive) Ulariaga S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente R: Flores S. (Inactive) Gomez L. (Muscle Injury) Retamar K. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Godoy Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Godoy Cruz
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Atlético Grau - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Godoy Cruz - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTTT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.05.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Godoy Cruz	0:0

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