Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.46	3.9	8
	1.49	3.85	7.4	Watch
	1.54	3.75	7.11
	1.51	3.85	7.76	Watch
	1.51	3.92	7.41	Watch
	1.49	3.85	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)	3.87 ↑ (3.78)	7.51 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
63%

Draw
24.4%

Godoy Cruz
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.9%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

24.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Independiente - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 77. Angulo A. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 10. Cabral L. 16. Hidalgo S. 9. Avalos G. 7. Montiel S.	1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 26. Mendoza M. 23. Rasmussen F. 3. Moran J. 13. Fernandez N. 5. Leyes B. 32. Abrego G. (C) 35. Pascual L. 24. Yanez B. 77. Dupuy L.
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 8. Galdames P. 34. Gimenez M. 18. Maestro I. 11. Mancuello F. 14. Millan L. 32. Paredes F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 19. Roman P. 35. Salle S. 3. Sporle A. 27. Tarzia D.	41. Altamira F. 27. Andino S. 31. Auzmendi A. 17. Gonzalez M. 29. Jara L. 21. Meli A. 20. Parzajuk K. 25. Poggi V. 10. Pozzo T. A. 6. Quiroz L. 2. Rossi T. 40. Salinas E. (G)
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Loyola F. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Loyola F. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Arce L. (Own goal),
27', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
28', Yanez B. 🟨,
35', 4 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pascual L. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
46', Yanez B. ↓, Poggi V. ↑,
57', Abrego G. ↓, Pozzo T. A. ↑,
60', Loyola F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
61', Avalos G. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
71', Cabral L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
71', Hidalgo S. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
73', Dupuy L. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
85', Montiel S. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
87', Fernandez N. ↓, Andino S. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1.

Independiente is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Godoy Cruz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Marcone I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Ardiles F. (Inactive) Ulariaga S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Independiente: Freire N. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Independiente to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:22 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Independiente - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.25	Independiente - Racing	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	San Lorenzo - Independiente	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Banfield - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.02.25	Independiente - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTW
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.03.25	Godoy Cruz - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Barracas Central - Godoy Cruz	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.02.25	Godoy Cruz - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.10.24	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	1:1
Copa Argentina
28.08.24	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	0:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	2:1
21.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.03.22	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	3:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.21	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	1:4
09.11.19	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	1:2

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