Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, TNT Sports
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Independiente Rivadavia		Racing

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.10	4.33	Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.90
	2.02	3.20	3.85	Watch
	1.97	3.28	4.65
	2.02	3.37	3.83	Watch
	2.01	3.30	4.05
	2.07	3.14	4.17	Watch
	1.99	3.15	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)	3.21 ↑ (3.07)	4.12 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
47.3%

Draw
29.6%

Racing
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Independiente Rivadavia - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Racing (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 2. Costa L. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 8. Bucca L. 11. Rios G. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 9. Arce A. (C) 17. Salas M.	25. Cambeses F. (C) 4. Cannavo E. 38. Martinez M. 43. Escudero G. 18. Pacha 16. Ortegoza U. 33. Perez L. 11. Zaracho M. 10. Miljevic M. 9. Adrian Martinez 17. Conechny T.
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 23. Diaz L. 3. Elordi J. M. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 43. Sartori F. 77. Sequeira L. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A.	37. Aguirre S. 14. Barinaga J. 35. Campo A. 24. Fernandez A. 40. Fraga F. 5. Kranevitter M. 20. Lodico G. A. 2. Perez M. 34. Rubio T. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D.
Coaches
Berti A.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Arce A. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Zaracho M. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Miljevic M. ⚽, Zaracho M. (A),
27', Studer S. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Rios G. ⚽,
45+3', Arce A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Conechny T. ↓, Campo A. ↑,
63', Zaracho M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
68', Bucca L. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
68', Salas M. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽,
74', Rios G. 🟨,
76', Ortegoza U. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
78', Fernandez A. 🟨,
86', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,
89', Rios G. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
90', Cannavo E. ↓, Fraga F. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Arce A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Independiente R has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente R may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Independiente R has had a series of away games.

Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.

Independiente R could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Racing - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
26.08.26	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.08.26	Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLLT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.08.26	Racing - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.08.26	Racing - Banfield	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Argentinos Juniors - Racing	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Racing - Tigre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.26	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
06.10.25	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
27.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Racing	2:1
10.11.24	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1

Upcoming Matches