Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Verde - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)


	Goiás		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.32	4.4	9
	1.32	4.29	8.68
	1.34	4.28	9.37
	1.35	4.2	9
	1.28	4.6	9.95
	1.32	4.4	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	4.34 ↑ (4.33)	9 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
68.9%

Draw
21%

Rio Branco AC ES
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+2%)

Goiás - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (6 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Tadeu ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, Edson Carioca ⚽,
78', 5 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽,
86', 6 - 0, Rafael Gava ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cibona won 2.

Cibona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches FMP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

FMP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Cibona to win the game is with odds 2.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Cibona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1387:1434 (average 81.6:84.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cibona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 682:646 (average 85.3:80.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Goiás - Jataiense	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Anápolis - Goiás	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Goiás - Goiânia	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Goiás - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWT
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:0 ✺
28.01.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
22.01.25	Vitória ES - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
18.01.25	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTWL

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