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Current Win Probability
Porto Vitória 36.1%
Draw 32%
Rio Branco AC ES 31.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
29%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
29%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 5. Gama 3. Joao Victor 2. Kellyton 8. Leo Baiano 4. Lucas Peres 7. Luiz Henrique 11. Matheus Firmino 9. Pedro Felipe 10. Renato Henrique 6. Thallyson
12. Allan Camilatto (G) 26. Breninho 15. Carlinhos 4. Darlan Santos 99. Edu 11. Gui Mendes 14. Matheus Castelo 22. Murilo Henrique 9. Neto Oliveira 16. Thainler 8. Ze Mateus
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gui Mendes ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Thallyson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Edu ↓, David Lopes ↑,
66', Luiz Henrique ↓, Bispo A. ↑,
69', Neto Oliveira ↓, Rafael ↑,
70', Gui Mendes ↓, Alisson Farias ↑,
70', Leo Baiano ↓, Henrique Melo ↑,
78', Kellyton ↓, Taleco ↑,
78', Pedro Felipe ↓, Victor Rangel ↑,
78', Matheus Firmino ↓, Josue ↑,
84', Murilo Henrique ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
84', Breninho ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Brazil
Watch
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Rafael Mariano (G) 
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