Match Info

Capixaba - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TV Record


	Porto Vitória		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	2.92
	2.6	2.75	2.9	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.9
	2.52	3.19	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (3.16)	2.88 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Vitória
36.1%

Draw
32%

Rio Branco AC ES
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 5. Gama 3. Joao Victor 2. Kellyton 8. Leo Baiano 4. Lucas Peres 7. Luiz Henrique 11. Matheus Firmino 9. Pedro Felipe 10. Renato Henrique 6. Thallyson	12. Allan Camilatto (G) 26. Breninho 15. Carlinhos 4. Darlan Santos 99. Edu 11. Gui Mendes 14. Matheus Castelo 22. Murilo Henrique 9. Neto Oliveira 16. Thainler 8. Ze Mateus

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gui Mendes ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Thallyson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Edu ↓, David Lopes ↑,
66', Luiz Henrique ↓, Bispo A. ↑,
69', Neto Oliveira ↓, Rafael ↑,
70', Gui Mendes ↓, Alisson Farias ↑,
70', Leo Baiano ↓, Henrique Melo ↑,
78', Kellyton ↓, Taleco ↑,
78', Pedro Felipe ↓, Victor Rangel ↑,
78', Matheus Firmino ↓, Josue ↑,
84', Murilo Henrique ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
84', Breninho ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
12.02.26	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Porto Vitória - Serra	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTT
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
12.02.26	Rio Branco-VN - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
24.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	1:0
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
28.05.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
05.04.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	2:0
01.04.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0
28.01.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1

Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide