The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 45.4%
Draw 32%
Goiás 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
29.6%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
28.8%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vila Nova - Goiás Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Vila Nova (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 23. Jonathan Costa 4. Douglas Mendes 13. Willian Formiga 5. Joao Vieira 15. Dudu 11. Ryan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis
23. Tadeu (C) 25. Luisao 4. Ramon Menezes 14. Lucas Ribeiro 54. Djalma Silva 97. Lourenco 5. Filipe Machado 35. Luquinhas 27. Wellington Rato 40. Kadu 11. Felipe Clemente
55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 18. Cadu 66. Danilo Cunha 28. Gege 21. Jean Carlos 8. Juninho 10. Lucas Lima 63. Marcos Vinicius 19. Murilo Camara 17. Pedrinho 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Mozart
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
14', Joao Vieira 🟨,
21', Luisao 🟨,
36', Hayner 🟨,
45', Douglas Mendes 🟨,
45+4', Dudu 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ryan ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
46', Bruno Xavier 🟨,
64', Felipe Clemente ↓, Cadu ↑,
64', Wellington Rato ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Hayner ⚽, Joao Vieira (A),
68', Andre Luis 🟨,
71', Lourenco ↓, Juninho ↑,
72', Ramon Menezes ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽, Joao Vieira (A),
78', Luquinhas ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
78', Dudu ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
78', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
83', Joao Vieira ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
85', Andre Luis ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
Vila Nova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Goiás's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Vila Nova could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Vila Nova: Anderson Jesus
(Inactive)
Breno Augusto
(Inactive)
Dellatorre
(Injury)
Douglas Mendes
(Inactive)
Nathan Camargo
(Yellow Cards)
Rafa Silva
(Knee Injury)
Tiago Pagnussat
(Red Card)
There will not play in Goiás: Anselmo Ramon
(Muscle Injury)
Luiz Felipe
(Red Card)
Nicolas
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Soares
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 0.8:0.2).
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