Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Pedro Ludovico (Goiânia)


	Goiânia		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.87
	3.85	3	1.92
	4.2	2.94	1.92
	11.29	4.82	1.27	Watch
	4.04	3	1.93
	3.6	3.35	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (3.65)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiânia
18.7%

Draw
28.1%

Ceilândia
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.5%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goiânia's form might have worsened.

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiânia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Goiânia - Ceilândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Ceilândia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

In recent matches, Goiânia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ceilândia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceilândia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ceilândia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goiânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiânia EC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Goianésia - Goiânia	1:3 ✺
29.06.25	Goiânia - Aparecidense	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Mixto - Goiânia	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Goiânia - Capital CF Ltda	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Capital CF Ltda - Goiânia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLTT
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Ceilândia - Luverdense	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ceilândia - Mixto	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Aparecidense - Ceilândia	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Ceilândia - Porto Velho	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Ceilândia - Goiânia	1:0

Goiânia - Ceilândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide