Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa (Goiatuba)


	Goiatuba		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.85	3.70
	2.20	2.85	3.25
	1.90	2.80	3.85
	1.99	3.02	3.94	Watch
	1.84	2.70	3.60
	1.99	2.88	3.98
	2	2.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.6)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)	3.66 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiatuba
44.6%

Draw
31.2%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

33.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiatuba's performance.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiatuba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Goiatuba - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Julio Vitor ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Thalles ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Gui Sales ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Goiatuba could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiatuba EC
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.26	Manauara - Goiatuba	1:3 penalties ✺
04.07.26	Goiatuba - Manauara	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Goiatuba - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Brasiliense - Goiatuba	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Goiatuba - Operário Ltda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWTW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fluminense Piaui	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW

Goiatuba - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide