Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Central SC

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.75
	1.83	3.25	4.7
	1.77	3.18	4.83	Watch
	1.8	3	4.6
	1.94	3.14	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	4.63 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
50.6%

Draw
29.5%

Central SC
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.

Central SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviário Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferroviário will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Hitalo (Own goal),
84', 2 - 0, Kiuan ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Ferroviário is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Central PE has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Central PE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviário is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviário won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fluminense Piaui	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Altos	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWW
- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Central SC - Laguna	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	América RN - Central SC	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Sousa - Central SC	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Central SC - Maguary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1
27.07.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC	0:0
20.04.25	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide