Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Central SC		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.87	3.40
	2.33	2.85	3.00
	2.13	3.10	3.68
	2.13	3	3.53	Watch
	2.05	2.80	3.40
	2.10	3.14	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.75)	2.96 ↑ (2.85)	3.45 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central SC
42.7%

Draw
30.8%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

31.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central SC's performance.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central SC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Diego Viana ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Central PE has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferroviário is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Central PE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Central PE won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Central PE won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.26	Central SC - Laguna	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	América RN - Central SC	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Sousa - Central SC	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Central SC - Maguary	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Central SC - ABC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLTTL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
13.06.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fluminense Piaui	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Altos	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Piauí - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC	0:0
20.04.25	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1

Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide