Match Info

Serie B - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.66	3.65	5.2
	1.66	3.59	5.45
	1.65	3.6	5.5
	1.66	3.7	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)	5.27 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
56.6%

Draw
25.6%

Amazonas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Goiás - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Goiás (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 97. Willean Lepo 14. Lucas Ribeiro 75. Messias 6. DG 5. Freitas G. 28. Juninho 32. Rodrigo Andrade 7. Jaja 45. Arthur Caike 17. Pedrinho	31. Renan (G) 15. Akapo C. 4. Wellington 8. Bruno Ramires 13. Alyson 6. Fabiano (C) 77. Robertinho 5. Vasquez L. 10. Rafael Tavares 30. Rodrigo Varanda 91. Henrique Almeida
Substitutes
16. Aloisio 4. Anthony 31. Barcelo F. 18. Breno Herculano 36. Lucas Lovat 3. Luiz Felipe 77. Marcao Silva 8. Rafael Gava 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 22. Vitinho 30. Welliton 71. Ze Hugo	38. Alex Sandro 18. Cocote 57. Diego Borges 20. Eliton Junior 29. Fernando Neto 1. Joao Lopes (G) 27. Linares N. 2. Rafael Monteiro 21. Vitao 19. William Barbio 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Andrade ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
10', Robertinho 🟨,
20', Pedrinho ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
27', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robertinho ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
57', DG 🟥,
58', Jaja ↓, Lucas Lovat ↑,
59', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
61', Fabiano ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
70', Vasquez L. 🟨,
75', Arthur Caike ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
76', Freitas G. ↓, Rafael Gava ↑,
76', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
76', Rafael Tavares ↓, Vitao ↑,
76', Rodrigo Varanda ↓, Cocote ↑,
76', Henrique Almeida ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
88', Breno Herculano 🟨,
90+1', Zabala D. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Goiás won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Copa Verde
19.03.25	Goiás - Brasiliense	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
16.03.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
12.03.25	Brasiliense - Goiás	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.03.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Goiás - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTLW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
01.04.25	Nacional AM - Amazonas	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Parintins - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	São Raimundo Manaus - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Amazonas - Manauara	0:1 ✺
12.03.25	Amazonas - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.11.24	Amazonas - Goiás	0:4
25.10.24	Goiás - Amazonas	1:0

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