Match Info

Date: 4 June 2021, Friday


	Goiás		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3	4.2
	1.83	3.05	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.1	4.5
	1.88	3.33	4.88
	1.88	3	4.5
	1.88	2.98	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.32)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	4.6 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
49.7%

Draw
30.1%

Confiança
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

33%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

22.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiás's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiás that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	10.5%	26.3%

Goiás - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Confiança will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 47.9% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Goiás is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Confiança is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.05.21	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:3 ✺
22.04.21	Goiás - Iporá	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Goianésia - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
29.05.21	Confiança - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
08.05.21	Confiança - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
05.05.21	Sergipe - Confiança	0:0 ✺
01.05.21	Sergipe - Confiança	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	Confiança - Frei Paulistano	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTW

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