Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Goiás		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.45	2.90	2.87
	2.55	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.67	3.08	3
	2.7	3.02	2.76
	2.6	3	2.9
	2.56	3.11	2.81	Watch
	2.55	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
36.2%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético Goianiense
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Goiás - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 54. Djalma Silva 97. Lourenco 5. Filipe Machado 21. Jean Carlos 10. Lucas Lima 17. Pedrinho 40. Kadu	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Warley 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 8. Netinho 5. Peixoto 7. Geovany Soares 10. Marrony 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 18. Cadu 66. Danilo Cunha 12. Ezequiel (G) 11. Felipe Clemente 28. Gege 77. Halerrandrio 8. Juninho 29. Murilo Camara 6. Nicolas 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 27. Wellington Rato	22. Bruno Jose 17. Cristiano 13. Ewerthon 20. Guilherme 19. Henrique Freitas 18. Joao Pedro 16. Klebert 21. Matheusinho 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito 15. Yuri
Coaches
Mozart	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Warley ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Netinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedrinho ↓, Felipe Clemente ↑,
48', Lourenco 🟨,
51', Netinho 🟨,
62', Marrony ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
62', Netinho ↓, Cristiano ↑,
65', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Nicolas ↑,
65', Lucas Lima ↓, Cadu ↑,
74', Lourenco ↓, Gege ↑,
78', Gustavo Maia ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
78', Geovany Soares ↓, Tito ↑,
80', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
84', Jean Carlos ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
87', Nicolas 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 1.

In recent outings, Goiás has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atlético GO is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Goiás may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Goiás has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:23 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Goiás against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:15 goals (averaging 0.8:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Atletico GO: 1.31% Goias: 0.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
20.09.26	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:3 ✺
10.09.26	Vila Nova - Goiás	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Goiás - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Goiás - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.26	São Bernardo - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
15.03.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
07.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:2
18.01.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.25	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
31.05.25	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.02.25	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	1:2

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