Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GOIANO - ROUND 8

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)


	Goiás		Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8.25
	1.2	4.8	11
	1.24	5.03	12.03
	1.27	4.4	11
	1.25	5.05	11.25
	1.3	4.5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)	4.71 ↑ (3.68)	10.36 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
72%

Draw
19.2%

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

22.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiás's performance.

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiás that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Goiás - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 4.

Goiás is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio Anápolis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio Anápolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Goiás is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Goiás won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.02.23	Inhumas - Goiás	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Goiás	3:3 ✺
22.01.23	Iporá - Goiás	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Goiás - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWT
- Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.02.23	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Inhumas	5:2 ✺
25.01.23	Goianésia - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	4:0 ✺
18.01.23	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
05.03.22	Goiás - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:1
26.01.22	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Goiás	0:0
02.03.19	Goiás - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:1
30.01.19	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Goiás	0:1
18.02.18	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Goiás	0:3
31.01.18	Goiás - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:0
12.03.15	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Goiás	1:6

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