Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GOIANO - ROUND 7

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)


	Vila Nova		Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8.25
	1.28	4.65	8.5
	1.41	3.75	6.6
	1.32	4.56	9.63
	1.3	4.2	10
	1.32	4.5	9.4
	1.33	4.1	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	4.28 ↑ (3.87)	8.65 ↑ (6.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
68.3%

Draw
21.2%

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

22.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Grêmio Anápolis will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vila Nova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio Anápolis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vila Nova is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
29.01.23	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	Vila Nova - Iporá	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
18.01.23	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Anápolis - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTTT
- Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
28.01.23	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Inhumas	5:2 ✺
25.01.23	Goianésia - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Morrinhos - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	4:0 ✺
18.01.23	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Goiânia - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
23.05.21	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:2 penalties
16.05.21	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Vila Nova	1:1
21.02.20	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Vila Nova	1:0
30.01.20	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:0
10.03.18	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:1

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